منابع مشابه
the illusion of certainty and the certainty of illusion: a caution when reading scientific articles
critical thinking is necessary to read the scientific literature. however, in addition to questions about the science, often one must also question the meaning of the text. this article provides an example of the analyses needed to understand a single sentence. in so doing, it raises several interesting issues of meaning, measurement, statistical analyses, and the form in which results are pres...
متن کاملThe fallibility of certainty.
An old-timer physician of New York, who was forever questioning the methods and purpose of his colleagues, concluded a Grand Rounds in his department with the observation, “No patient is in real danger until all his doctors agree on his diagnosis.” Those of us at the session dutifully applauded and laughed, left the meeting, but never forgot his perceptive warning. We all crave certainty, yet s...
متن کاملthe effect of taftan pozzolan on the compressive strength of concrete in the environmental conditions of oman sea (chabahar port)
cement is an essential ingredient in the concrete buildings. for production of cement considerable amount of fossil fuel and electrical energy is consumed. on the other hand for generating one tone of portland cement, nearly one ton of carbon dioxide is released. it shows that 7 percent of the total released carbon dioxide in the world relates to the cement industry. considering ecological issu...
The Illusion of Certainty
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متن کاملThe Certainty of Uncertainty
I believe that industry requirements for software estimate accuracy are infeasible. This is because software development, like economics and management science, is a complex, non-linear adaptive system and as such any attempt to estimate project effort or timescales is likely to result in very inaccurate estimates. In my view, it is important to understand the nature of the uncertainty in estim...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Auslegung: a Journal of Philosophy
سال: 1980
ISSN: 0733-4311
DOI: 10.17161/ajp.1808.8985